Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Niort had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
