Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.