Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
