Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
