Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
-3.79) 
0.91) 
