Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
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