Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Caen had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pau in this match.
