Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
0.28) 
-0.39) 
