Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.