SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Quevilly | Draw | Caen |
30.11% ( 0.16) | 28.49% ( -0.02) | 41.4% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.22% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.1% ( 0.13) | 60.9% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.08% ( 0.09) | 80.91% ( -0.1) |
| Quevilly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( 0.19) | 36.34% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.87% ( 0.2) | 73.12% ( -0.2) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( -0.02) | 28.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.15% ( -0.02) | 64.85% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Quevilly | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 30.1% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 41.39% |
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