Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (6.27%).
0.69) 
-0.06) 
