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Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
AU

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Atlanta

Harriel (61')
Uhre (68'), Harriel (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lobzhanidze (72')
Lennon (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-0 DC United
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 Atlanta United

With just three points between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union in the coveted ninth place, we anticipate a thrilling contest at Subaru Park as both sides look to get one over the other. However, Philadelphia's home advantage gives them a slight edge and we fancy them to see off the Five Stripes who have failed to win six of their last seven games on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
53.63%21.99% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 61.23% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)37.97% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)60.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)14.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)41.99% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)28.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)64.4% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 53.63%
    Atlanta United 24.37%
    Draw 21.99%
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.63%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 6.22%
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 24.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-0 DC United
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-5 Philadelphia
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, August 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Colorado (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 25 at 9.30pm in Leagues Cup
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-2 Nashville
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Atlanta
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Santos Laguna (3-5 pen.)
Sunday, August 4 at 9pm in Leagues Cup


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