SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
57.57% ( 0.27) | 22.34% ( -0.06) | 20.09% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.21% ( -0.04) | 44.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.85% ( -0.03) | 67.15% ( 0.03) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.7% ( 0.08) | 15.3% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.99% ( 0.15) | 44.01% ( -0.15) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( -0.24) | 36.27% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.94% ( -0.24) | 73.06% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 57.56% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.09% |
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