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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
46.14% ( 0.12) | 22.87% ( 0.02) | 30.99% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 63.77% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.93% ( -0.16) | 37.07% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.74% ( -0.18) | 59.26% ( 0.18) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( -0.02) | 16.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.76% ( -0.03) | 46.24% ( 0.03) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( -0.16) | 23.62% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( -0.24) | 57.71% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.46% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.99% |
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