SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
55.4% ( 0.02) | 22.3% ( 0) | 22.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% ( -0.02) | 41.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( -0.02) | 64.16% ( 0.02) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( -0) | 14.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.6% ( -0) | 43.4% ( 0.01) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( -0.02) | 32.43% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.05% ( -0.03) | 68.95% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 22.3% |
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