Both sides have played their share of exciting games this season, but neither have been all that convincing nor shown the ability to hang onto an advantage for long, which is why we project they will each collect a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Louis City in this match.
-0.03) 
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