SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Louis City in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Austin FC |
52.95% ( -0.03) | 23.45% ( 0.01) | 23.61% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( -0.03) | 45.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.24% ( -0.03) | 67.76% ( 0.02) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% ( -0.02) | 17.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.66% ( -0.04) | 47.34% ( 0.03) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( 0) | 33.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.08% ( 0) | 69.92% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 52.94% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.61% |
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