Major League Soccer

Sep 8, 2022 at 1am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Pereira (41')
Pereira (43'), Acevedo (84'), Chanot (90+3')
Martins (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Martins (22' og.)
Nwobodo (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York City FC 3-2 FC Cincinnati

As poor as the defending champions have been lately, Cincinnati have not sorted out their defensive issues, and while Cincy are potent in the final third, they still look vulnerable on the back end. The Orange and Blue are an ideal opponent for a side like NYCFC, and as entertaining as Cincinnati have been throughout this year, they struggle to put matches away when the opportunity arises, which we believe will benefit the Pigeons on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	FC Cincinnati
69.16% ( 0.66)	17.86% ( -0.28)	12.99% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 53.47% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.38% (

0.4)

37.62% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.14% (

0.43)

59.86% (

-0.43)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.16% (

0.27)

9.84% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.34% (

0.62)

32.66% (

-0.62)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.31% (

-0.31)

40.69% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72% (

-0.28)

77.28% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 69.16%

FC Cincinnati 12.99%

Draw 17.86%

New York City FC	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.01% Total : 69.16%	1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.86%	1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.58% Total : 12.99%