Major League Soccer

Aug 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
2 - 1
NY City

Urso (7'), Akindele (90+6')
Carlos (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moralez (53')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 1-1 New York City FC

Four of the last five matches between these sides have ended in a draw, and with the Pigeons missing one of their top chance creators (Rodriguez) and Orlando also missing one of their best (Pato), this might not be a fast-paced game with a lot of opportunities for either side, especially given the Florida heat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	New York City FC
34.61% ( -0)	25.67% ( 0.06)	39.72% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.15% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.09% (

-0.26)

48.91% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29% (

-0.23)

71% (

0.23)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.84% (

-0.13)

27.16% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.44% (

-0.16)

62.56% (

0.16)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

-0.14)

24.29% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33% (

-0.2)

58.67% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 34.61%

New York City FC 39.72%

Draw 25.66%

Orlando City	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 39.72%