SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 28 | -3 | 35 |
| 6 | Toronto | 29 | -5 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | New York City FC | 28 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | -5 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
48.69% ( 0.27) | 24.19% ( 0) | 27.11% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( -0.2) | 45.68% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( -0.19) | 68% ( 0.19) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( 0.03) | 18.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.7% ( 0.05) | 50.29% ( -0.05) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( -0.3) | 30.59% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( -0.36) | 66.83% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 48.69% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 3% Total : 27.11% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
