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Thursday, November 21
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 8
May 22, 2021 at 11pm UK
Toyota Park
IM

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
Inter Miami

Stojanovic (70')
Medran (9'), Offor (90'), Sekulic (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez Pirez (23'), Ulloa (31'), Robinson (61'), Shawcross (68'), Matuidi (68'), Figal (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawInter Miami
45.96%24.5%29.53%
Both teams to score 57.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48%45.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15%67.85%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09%19.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96%52.04%
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24%28.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41%64.59%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 45.96%
    Inter Miami 29.53%
    Draw 24.5%
Chicago FireDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.53%

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