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Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2022 at 2am UK
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
AF
Colorado
2 - 3
Austin
Abubakar (19'), Lewis (22')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Finlay (28'), Driussi (45+1'), Urruti (59')
Pereira (18'), Keller (41'), Driussi (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Austin
Friday, July 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Colorado Rapids 0-1 Austin FC

One of the few consistencies that we have seen from the Rapids this season is their ability to deter the most potent attacking sides on their home field. They should be able to keep Austin at bay for a while, but the Verde and Black can probably afford to take a few more chances in this one, given the lack of quality from Colorado in the attacking third, and we expect they will be able to produce a moment of high quality once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Colorado RapidsDrawAustin FC
54.36% (-0.147 -0.15) 24.53% (0.032 0.03) 21.1% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 48.7% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)52.57% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77%74.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)19.27% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)50.99% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.32% (0.116 0.12)39.68% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.64% (0.106 0.11)76.35% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Colorado Rapids 54.35%
    Austin FC 21.1%
    Draw 24.53%
Colorado RapidsDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 54.35%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 21.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portland 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-3 Nashville
Sunday, May 29 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-0 Seattle
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Colorado
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-0 Los Angeles
Saturday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Austin
Friday, July 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Dallas
Sunday, June 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 Austin
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Austin
Sunday, May 29 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Orlando City
Monday, May 23 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-2 Austin
Thursday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

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