SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
59.87% ( 0.01) | 21.81% ( -0.01) | 18.32% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( 0.01) | 45.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 0.01) | 67.39% ( -0.01) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( 0.01) | 14.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.24% ( 0.01) | 42.76% ( -0.01) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.68% ( 0) | 38.32% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.92% ( 0) | 75.08% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.32% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
