SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
47.77% ( -0.12) | 25.58% ( 0.05) | 26.65% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% ( -0.16) | 51.81% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.43% ( -0.14) | 73.57% ( 0.14) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( -0.11) | 21.69% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% ( -0.17) | 54.84% ( 0.18) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.81% ( -0.03) | 34.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% ( -0.03) | 70.88% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.65% |
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