Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.