SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Toronto |
61.89% ( 0.21) | 21.09% ( -0.02) | 17.02% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.93% ( -0.22) | 44.06% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.55% ( -0.22) | 66.44% ( 0.22) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% ( -0.01) | 13.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.08% ( -0.02) | 40.92% ( 0.02) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.36) | 39.27% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% ( -0.34) | 75.97% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 61.88% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.03% 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.02% |
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