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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
61.43% ( 0.15) | 21.29% ( -0.02) | 17.28% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( -0.15) | 44.49% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( -0.15) | 66.86% ( 0.15) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( 0) | 13.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.53% ( -0) | 41.46% ( 0.01) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.79% ( -0.25) | 39.21% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.08% ( -0.23) | 75.92% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 61.43% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.29% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 17.28% |
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