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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
64.97% ( -0.31) | 20.57% ( 0.09) | 14.46% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.26% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% ( 0.1) | 46.59% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( 0.09) | 68.86% ( -0.09) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( -0.06) | 13.56% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.34% ( -0.12) | 40.66% ( 0.12) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.83% ( 0.38) | 44.17% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.74% ( 0.31) | 80.26% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 64.96% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.46% |
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