SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
59.48% ( 0.15) | 21.79% ( -0.06) | 18.74% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.47% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( 0.13) | 44.32% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( 0.13) | 66.7% ( -0.13) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.48% ( 0.09) | 14.52% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.45% ( 0.18) | 42.55% ( -0.18) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( -0.02) | 37.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.78% ( -0.02) | 74.22% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 59.47% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.78% | 0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 18.74% |
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