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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Columbus Crew |
46.45% ( -0.59) | 24.49% ( -0.05) | 29.07% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.3% ( 0.59) | 45.7% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.98% ( 0.56) | 68.02% ( -0.57) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( -0.01) | 19.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.17% ( -0.02) | 51.82% ( 0.01) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.76) | 29.17% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% ( 0.92) | 65.11% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 46.45% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.41% Total : 29.07% |
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