Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
49.63% ( -0.1) | 26.41% ( -0.04) | 23.95% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 46.72% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.1% ( 0.26) | 56.9% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.19% ( 0.21) | 77.81% ( -0.2) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% ( 0.06) | 23% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.2% ( 0.09) | 56.8% ( -0.09) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.67% ( 0.28) | 39.33% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.97% ( 0.26) | 76.03% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
1-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.63% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.95% |
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