SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Portland Timbers |
55.41% ( 0.02) | 22.87% ( -0) | 21.72% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.7% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.98% ( 0.02) | 45.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.63% ( 0.01) | 67.37% ( -0.01) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( 0.01) | 16.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.49% ( 0.02) | 45.51% ( -0.02) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( 0) | 34.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% | 71.53% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 6% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)5-1 @ 1% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.41% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.87% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.04% Total : 21.72% |
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