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MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Austin FC Stadium
RS

Austin
2 - 2
Salt Lake

Austin win 3-1 on penalties
Driussi (31', 90+4' pen.)
Ring (41')
FT
(aet)
Cordova (3', 15' pen.)
Rubin (17'), Glad (45+4'), Caldwell (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-1 Colorado
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 Portland
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We say: Austin FC 2-0 Real Salt Lake

Over the course of the season, Austin were what RSL became in the postseason in 2021, an underdog story who surprised everyone time and again. Unfortunately for Salt Lake, that was then and this is now, and the bottom line is that we do not believe the visitors have the stamina or quality to compete with a side who have as many weapons as the Verde and Black, not to mention that kind of intense heat which we are likely to see, which should favour the home team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.19%).

Result
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
60.12% (1.554 1.55) 20.71% (-0.581 -0.58) 19.16% (-0.974 -0.97)
Both teams to score 57.96% (0.34500000000001 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.23% (1.242 1.24)38.76% (-1.243 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (1.297 1.3)61.07% (-1.298 -1.3)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.84999999999999 0.85)12.54% (-0.851 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.42% (1.739 1.74)38.57% (-1.739 -1.74)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (-0.252 -0.25)33.72% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (-0.277 -0.28)70.38% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 60.12%
    Real Salt Lake 19.16%
    Draw 20.71%
Austin FCDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.12% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.212 0.21)
3-0 @ 6.31% (0.237 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.56% (0.219 0.22)
4-0 @ 3.28% (0.222 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.107 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.134 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 60.12%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 19.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Austin 1-1 Colorado
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 2-0 Austin
Sunday, October 2 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 3-0 Salt Lake
Thursday, September 15 at 2.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 3-0 Austin
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-0 Austin
Sunday, September 4 at 2.29am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-1 Portland
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Atlas
Friday, September 23 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, September 18 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 3-0 Salt Lake
Thursday, September 15 at 2.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 DC United
Sunday, September 11 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer


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