SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 26 | 10 | 39 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | -1 | 37 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 2 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 43 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 5 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dallas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
46.54% ( 0.01) | 26.66% ( -0.3) | 26.8% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 48.46% ( 1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.13% ( 1.25) | 55.87% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.02% ( 1.01) | 76.98% ( -1.01) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.55) | 23.99% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( 0.78) | 58.23% ( -0.79) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( 0.93) | 36.25% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% ( 0.93) | 73.04% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.54% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.8% |
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