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Major League Soccer
Aug 18, 2022 at 2am UK
Pizza Hut Park
PU

Dallas
1 - 0
Philadelphia

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gazdag (73'), Mbaizo (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 4-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, August 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Both sides have been in good form of late, so we can envisage a share of the spoils. Philadelphia are second in the overall MLS table right now, but with a long trip ahead of them to Dallas, they would likely be content with avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dallas in this match.

Result
DallasDrawPhiladelphia Union
46.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.66% (-0.299 -0.3) 26.8% (0.288 0.29)
Both teams to score 48.46% (1.053 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.13% (1.252 1.25)55.87% (-1.257 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02% (1.01 1.01)76.98% (-1.013 -1.01)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (0.55199999999999 0.55)23.99% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (0.783 0.78)58.23% (-0.788 -0.79)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75% (0.927 0.93)36.25% (-0.931 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96% (0.927 0.93)73.04% (-0.932 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 46.54%
    Philadelphia Union 26.8%
    Draw 26.65%
DallasDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 12.41% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.86% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.28% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dallas 4-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, August 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Dallas
Wednesday, August 3 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, July 31 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, July 24 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Austin
Sunday, July 17 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 6-0 Houston
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 New England
Sunday, July 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer


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