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Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 at 2am UK
Pizza Hut Park
LG
Dallas
1 - 0
LA Galaxy
Jara (9')
Jara (35'), Cerrillo (82'), Arriola (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gasper (22'), Zavaleta (38'), Edwards (53'), Araujo (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, July 24 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Not only have Dallas won the last five home meetings with LA Galaxy, but they also managed to claim an away 3-1 victory over Saturday's opponents in May, and we think that they will add another win to their head-to-head record at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dallas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result
DallasDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
43.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.21% (0.004999999999999 0) 31.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.5% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)47.93% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (-0.02 -0.02)70.11% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21.9% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)55.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)28.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)64.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 43.73%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 31.06%
    Draw 25.21%
DallasDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.73%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, July 24 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Austin
Sunday, July 17 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 0-1 NY City
Thursday, July 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-2 Dallas
Sunday, July 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Inter Miami
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Atlanta
Monday, July 25 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, July 17 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Earthquakes
Thursday, July 14 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 LA Galaxy
Saturday, July 9 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-0 Montreal
Tuesday, July 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

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