SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt Lake | 22 | 1 | 33 |
| 2 | Dallas | 22 | 7 | 32 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 22 | 4 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 22 | 4 | 30 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 21 | 2 | 30 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 22 | 2 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dallas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dallas.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
43.73% ( -0.01) | 25.21% ( 0) | 31.06% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% ( -0.02) | 47.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( -0.02) | 70.11% ( 0.02) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( -0.02) | 21.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.84% ( -0.02) | 55.16% ( 0.02) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( -0.01) | 28.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( -0.01) | 64.82% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.73% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.06% |
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