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Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
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Orlando City
0 - 1
Philadelphia


Kara (31'), Moutinho (37'), Araujo (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (39')
Andres Martinez (8'), Carranza (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Arsenal
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Orlando City 1-2 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union head into the game on a better run of results and will back themselves to come away with all three points. While we expect Orlando City to put up a good fight, we are tipping the away side to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
40.19% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.67% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.54% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.38% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0)74.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)30.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)66.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 40.19%
    Philadelphia Union 33.14%
    Draw 26.66%
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Arsenal
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Atlanta 1-1 Orlando City
Sunday, July 17 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, July 14 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 10 at 3.24am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-5 DC United
Tuesday, July 5 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Orlando City
Saturday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 New England
Sunday, July 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 7-0 DC United
Saturday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Philadelphia
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 30 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, June 26 at 11pm in Major League Soccer


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