Major League Soccer

Jul 17, 2022 at 2am UK

Pizza Hut Park

Dallas
1 - 1
Austin

Arriola (42')
Velasco (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fagundez (79')
Felipe (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Dallas 0-2 Austin FC

Austin arrive in fine form as Conference leaders, and, against a struggling Dallas outfit, we back the visitors to outclass their hosts and make it five on the bounce on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Austin FC
55.15% ( -3.43)	23.39% ( 1.12)	21.46% ( 2.31)

Both teams to score 52.68% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.46% (

-1.75)

47.53% (

1.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.26% (

-1.64)

69.74% (

1.63)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

-1.79)

17.09% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.71% (

-3.26)

47.29% (

3.26)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.54% (

1.38)

36.46% (

-1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.75% (

1.37)

73.24% (

-1.37)

Score Analysis

Dallas 55.14%

Austin FC 21.46%

Draw 23.38%

Dallas	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 11% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.43) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.66) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.47) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.14%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.38%	0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.18) Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.46%