Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 20 | 17 | 36 |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 20 | 7 | 33 |
3 | CF Montreal | 19 | 0 | 29 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 3 | 26 |
5 | New England Revolution | 19 | -1 | 25 |
6 | Houston Dynamo | 20 | -3 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
53.76% ( -0.68) | 23.5% ( 0.09) | 22.73% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 54% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.39% ( 0.25) | 46.61% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.12% ( 0.23) | 68.88% ( -0.24) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.74% ( -0.16) | 17.26% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.42% ( -0.27) | 47.58% ( 0.27) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.26% ( 0.69) | 34.74% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.53% ( 0.72) | 71.47% ( -0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.07% Total : 22.73% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: