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Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
NE
Philadelphia
2 - 1
New England
Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bou (61')

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New England Revolution

Expect the Revs to be in a foul mood after the way they lost their previous encounter, though the Union are well-equipped to handle their dangerous attacking players as they are perhaps the most structurally sound team in the league and, at the moment, are firing on all cylinders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
53.76% (-0.685 -0.68) 23.5% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 22.73% (0.588 0.59)
Both teams to score 54% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.249 0.25)46.61% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.235 0.23)68.88% (-0.238 -0.24)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.158 -0.16)17.26% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.272 -0.27)47.58% (0.267 0.27)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (0.685 0.69)34.74% (-0.69 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (0.719 0.72)71.47% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 53.76%
    New England Revolution 22.73%
    Draw 23.5%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 22.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 7-0 DC United
Saturday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Philadelphia
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 30 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, June 26 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 4-2 New England
Saturday, July 9 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-2 Cincinnati
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 New England
Monday, June 27 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Orlando City
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

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