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Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
PU

Inter Miami
1 - 2
Philadelphia

Higuain (82')
Duke (45+3'), Lowe (88'), Sailor (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (26' pen.), Burke (66')
Bedoya (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Miami 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union are on a better run of results heading into this one but Inter Miami's home form indicates that they are certainly no pushovers. We are backing the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
38.53% (-0.19 -0.19) 26.72% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 34.75% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.68% (-0.111 -0.11)53.32% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)74.86% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.157 -0.16)26.96% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7% (-0.207 -0.21)62.3% (0.205 0.2)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (0.043999999999997 0.04)29.2% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85% (0.053999999999995 0.05)65.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 38.53%
    Philadelphia Union 34.75%
    Draw 26.72%
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 38.53%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Orlando City 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 10 at 3.24am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Inter Miami
Tuesday, July 5 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 7-0 DC United
Saturday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Philadelphia
Monday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 30 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-1 NY City
Sunday, June 26 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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