SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
55.83% ( -0.02) | 23.33% ( 0.01) | 20.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.97% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.97% ( -0.02) | 48.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.8% ( -0.02) | 70.19% ( 0.02) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( -0.02) | 17.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.82% ( -0.03) | 47.17% ( 0.03) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% ( -0) | 37.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.85% ( -0) | 74.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 55.83% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.84% |
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