Major League Soccer

Sep 11, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Pizza Hut Park

Dallas
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Ferreira (78', 81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Arango (45+4')
Palacios (8'), Escobar (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Dallas 2-2 Los Angeles FC

Dallas are currently unbeaten in their last five home games, and we think that they will utilise home advantage to hold the Western Conference leaders to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Los Angeles FC
37.97% ( 0.08)	25.29% ( 0.09)	36.74% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 56.72% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01% (

-0.42)

46.99% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

-0.39)

69.24% (

0.4)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.65% (

-0.15)

24.35% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.25% (

-0.21)

58.75% (

0.22)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.98% (

-0.28)

25.02% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.31% (

-0.39)

59.69% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Dallas 37.97%

Los Angeles FC 36.74%

Draw 25.28%

Dallas	Draw	Los Angeles FC
1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.97%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.74%