Major League Soccer

Aug 28, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Livestrong Sporting Park

Kansas
1 - 0
Earthquakes

Salloi (10')
Sweat (42'), Agade (45'), Fontas (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Beason (57'), Agren (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sporting Kansas City 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

Both sides, who picked up impressive victories last time out, will head into the weekend looking to build on that result and continue their surge from the bottom of the table. However, Sporting Kansas City have found their rhythm at the attacking end of the pitch, and we are backing them to outscore the Earthquakes, with the home fans cheering them on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
52.96% ( -0.12)	22.72% ( 0.06)	24.31% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.55% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.52% (

-0.21)

41.48% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.12% (

-0.22)

63.88% (

0.22)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.31% (

-0.11)

15.69% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.25% (

-0.21)

44.75% (

0.21)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.44% (

-0.07)

30.56% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21% (

-0.08)

66.78% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 52.96%

San Jose Earthquakes 24.31%

Draw 22.72%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.96%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 24.31%