SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Minnesota United | 28 | 4 | 44 |
| 2 | Dallas | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 2 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 29 | 7 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 2 | 42 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 1 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
55.84% ( -3.43) | 22.76% ( 0.78) | 21.4% ( 2.65) |
| Both teams to score 54.62% ( 1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( 0.24) | 44.91% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.74% ( 0.23) | 67.26% ( -0.23) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( -1.05) | 15.92% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.83% ( -1.97) | 45.17% ( 1.97) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( 2.87) | 35.04% ( -2.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% ( 2.9) | 71.78% ( -2.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.81)3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.73)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.45)4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.42% Total : 55.83% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.58)0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.22)Other @ 2% Total : 21.4% |
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