SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for DC United had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
36.78% ( 0.11) | 25.06% ( 0.03) | 38.16% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% ( -0.11) | 45.92% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.77% ( -0.11) | 68.23% ( 0.11) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( 0.01) | 24.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( 0.01) | 58.97% ( -0.01) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( -0.12) | 23.76% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.09% ( -0.17) | 57.91% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.16% |
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