SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 71.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 11.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | DC United |
71.58% ( 0) | 17.38% ( -0) | 11.03% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.64% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.34% ( 0.01) | 40.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( 0.01) | 63.04% ( -0.01) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.94% ( 0) | 10.06% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.85% ( 0.01) | 33.15% ( -0.01) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.07% | 45.93% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.34% | 81.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | DC United |
| 2-0 @ 12.18% 1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 9.33% 3-1 @ 7.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.82% 5-0 @ 2.46% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.62% 6-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.44% Total : 71.57% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.82% Total : 17.38% | 0-1 @ 3.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.21% 0-2 @ 1.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.87% Total : 11.03% |
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