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FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
CF

Cincinnati
2 - 3
Chicago Fire

Acosta (78'), Vazquez (89')
Hagglund (27'), Kubo (81')
Santos (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duran (56', 75'), Gutierrez (59')
Pineda (68'), Czichos (90+4'), Navarro (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Cincinnati
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Chicago Fire

With two games left to play before the end of the regular season, FC Cincinnati need one win to cement their place in the playoffs. They head into the weekend in solid form on home turf and we predict that they will make use of their home advantage to see off the floundering Chicago Fire side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%).

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
53.83% (0.324 0.32) 22.51% (-0.137 -0.14) 23.65% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 58.48% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (0.407 0.41)41.2% (-0.415 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (0.414 0.41)63.59% (-0.421 -0.42)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7% (0.25 0.25)15.3% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.98% (0.474 0.47)44.02% (-0.481 -0.48)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.059000000000012 0.06)30.95% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.07 0.07)67.25% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 53.83%
    Chicago Fire 23.65%
    Draw 22.51%
FC CincinnatiDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.087000000000002 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Cincinnati
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 Guadalajara
Thursday, September 22 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, September 18 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 6-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Cincinnati
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 3-2 Chicago Fire
Wednesday, September 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 Montreal
Sunday, August 28 at 1am in Major League Soccer


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