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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 6
May 8, 2021 at 11pm UK
Exploria Stadium
NY

Orlando City
1 - 1
NY City

Nani (52')
Smith (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
33.93%24.47%41.61%
Both teams to score 59.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4%43.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34%66%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96%25.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29%59.71%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95%21.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.15%53.85%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 33.93%
    New York City FC 41.61%
    Draw 24.46%
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 7.88%
1-0 @ 7.3%
2-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.93%
1-1 @ 11.37%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 8.86%
0-1 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 6.4%
1-3 @ 4.6%
0-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 1.79%
0-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.61%

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