SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | DC United |
58.86% ( 0.01) | 22.6% ( -0) | 18.54% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( 0.03) | 48.07% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( 0.03) | 70.24% ( -0.03) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( 0.02) | 15.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% ( 0.02) | 45.31% ( -0.02) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.16% ( 0.03) | 39.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.49% ( 0.02) | 76.51% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 3% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 58.85% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 18.54% |
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