SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Portland Timbers |
59.23% ( 0.07) | 21.73% ( -0.02) | 19.03% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( 0.04) | 43.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( 0.04) | 66.01% ( -0.04) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( 0.03) | 14.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.76% ( 0.06) | 42.24% ( -0.07) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( -0.02) | 36.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( -0.02) | 73.49% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 59.23% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 19.03% |
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