DC United will be rejuvenated following their return to winning ways last time out, and with more quality than the recent winless run suggests, we think they have enough to pick up a result away at an Orlando City side who are yet to reach their full potential this term.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
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