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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
39.21% ( -2.91) | 25.33% ( 0) | 35.47% ( 2.91) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( 0.6) | 47.25% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( 0.55) | 69.48% ( -0.55) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( -1.19) | 23.82% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.01% ( -1.74) | 57.99% ( 1.74) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( 2.05) | 25.86% ( -2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% ( 2.69) | 60.84% ( -2.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.63)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.49)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.39)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.35)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.47% |
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